Published: Dec. 1, 2015

Time-Consistent Stopping

Yu-Jui Huang

School of Mathematical SciencesDublin City University

Date and time: 

Tuesday, December 1, 2015 - 1:30pm

Location: 

ECCR 257

Abstract: 

We study optimal stopping in continuous time, under non-exponential discounting. Our framework particularly captures decreasing impatience, a phenomenon well-documented in Behavioral Finance. Since non-exponential discounting induces time inconsistency, one should not naively employ optimal stopping times from classical theory, but rather look for equilibrium stopping policies under a game-theoretic setting. We provide a precise definition of subgame perfect Nash equilibriums in an intertemporal game among current and future selves. For time-inconsistent stopping problems, this is the first time a formulation of equilibrium is established in continuous time. Fixed-point iterations are carried out to search for equilibriums. Under appropriate conditions, the iteration is decreasing and indeed converges to an equilibrium. More importantly, the fixed-point iteration reveals a clear connection between a naive agent (who applies optimal stopping times) and a sophisticated agent (who employs equilibrium policies). This connection is new in the literature of time-inconsistent problems.