colorado river flow through canyon

A testbed was developed using the Bureau of Reclamation's Mid-Term Probabilistic Operations Model (MTOM) to assess streamflow forecasts and operational projections in the Colorado River Basin for a Master's Report project. The current uncertainty and error of out-year (lead times beyond current year) streamflow forecasts and operational projections were assessed.

US Bureau of Reclamation

  •  Sarah Baker: Ph.D. candidate, Reclamation Engineer in Training
  • CADSWES: Edie Zagona, and Balaji Rajagopalan
  • Andrew Wood, NCAR
  • Dr Jim Prairie, Bureau of Reclamation

A testbed was developed using Reclamation's Mid-Term Probabilistic Operations Model (MTOM) to assess streamflow forecasts and operational projections in the Colorado River Basin for a Master's Report project. The current uncertainty and error of out-year (lead times beyond current year) streamflow forecasts and operational projections were assessed. A testbed was then created to establish a protocol for testing the performance of streamflow forecasts and modeled operational projections. Operational forecasts such as ensemble streamflow prediction (ESP) and research-grade streamflow forecasts are now being evaluated in the testbed to determine the skill of alternative streamflow forecasts.