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Federal debt rollovers as a Ponzi scheme?
by W. Curtiss Priest
02 April 2002 22:58 UTC
Abstracts & Citations of Recently Published Papers:
Blanchard, Olivier and Weil, Philippe (2001) "Dynamic Efficiency, the
Riskless Rate, and Debt Ponzi Games under Uncertainty", Advances in
Macroeconomics: Vol. 1: No. 2, Article 3.
http://www.bepress.com/bejm/advances/vol1/iss2/art3
ABSTRACT:
In a dynamically efficient economy, can a government roll its debt
forever and avoid the need to raise taxes? In a series of examples of
economies with zero growth, this paper shows that such Ponzi games
may be infeasible even when the average rate of return on bonds is
negative, and may be feasible even when the average rate of return on
bonds is positive. The paper then reveals the structure which
underlies these examples.
--
W. Curtiss Priest, Director, CITS
Center for Information, Technology & Society
466 Pleasant St., Melrose, MA 02176
Voice: 781-662-4044 BMSLIB@MIT.EDU
Fax: 781-662-6882 WWW: http://Cybertrails.org
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