A quick GOP presidential nomination? Not so fast!

January 13, 2012

The Republican Party has implemented new rules this primary that could lead to a longer nomination process without a clear frontrunner. In a race, unlike any before in the GOP’s history, this year’s nomination process will be one to watch, says CU-Boulder Political Science Professor Ken Bickers.

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A quick GOP presidential nomination? Not so fast!

Jan. 1012                                                Ken Bickers

While Mitt Romney may have won the New Hampshire primary with 39.3 percent of the votes, new rules will keep lower place finishers, like Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman, in contention. The Republican Party has implemented new rules this primary that could lead to a longer nomination process without a clear frontrunner. In a race, unlike any before in the GOP’s history, this year’s nomination process will be one to watch, says CU-Boulder Political Science Professor Ken Bickers.

CUT 1 “The Republican process this time is a little bit different than what it has been in the past. It’s not as frontloaded as it has been in the past. (:07) In the contests that occur in January, February and March the Republicans are going to be using a proportional allocation rule, so proportional representation where delegates will go to candidates based on the percentage of the vote that they received in the primary or the caucuses in the early months.” (:28)

Since a longer campaign requires a larger financial demand, Bickers says the nomination process changes will likely favor candidates who can fund a longer campaign.

CUT 2 “It’s going to put umm a premium on the campaigns that have done the spade work early to develop the connections and so forth. (:13) That means that serious candidates are going to need money over a longer period of time and have organization in more states over a longer period of time than has been true in the past.” (:26)

 

Gone are the days of the quick presidential nomination. Unlike Senator John McCain’s quick sprint to the front in 2008, the new rules could make this year a race to the finish, says Bickers.

However, he says, if no candidate has won more than 50 percent of the delegates by the convention, a “brokered convention” is likely to occur. In this case, the delegates will decide the presidential nomination through a re-vote.

 

-CU-

 

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