Conferences and Training

Below are the most recent conference announcements received by the Natural Hazards Center. A comprehensive list of hazard/disaster meetings is posted on our World Wide Web site: www.colorado.edu/hazards/conf.html.

National Symposium on Mitigating Severe Weather Impacts: Design for Disaster Reduction. Host: International Center for Natural Hazards and Disaster Research, University of Oklahoma. Tulsa, Oklahoma: March 31-April 5, 2001. In response to the rising costs of disasters, the nation's focus is changing from reactive to proactive measures to reduce social impacts. To further these efforts, this symposium has been organized so that the diverse stakeholders in disaster mitigation can work together to perfect strategies for improving the safety and well-being of society before a natural hazard becomes a disaster. The symposium theme is "Design for Disaster Reduction," and a major conference goal is to develop public and private partnerships to create a disaster resilient society through improved engineering and architectural design and technology. Further, the meeting will address the issues of severe weather impacts on society, best methods to mitigate disasters, and new technologies for disseminating information and warnings. Several sessions are planned:

A complete agenda is available from Cindy Ward, Manager of Special Projects, International Center for Natural Hazards and Disaster Research, University of Oklahoma, 710 Asp Avenue, Suite 8, Norman, OK 73069; (405) 447-8418; e-mail: cward@ou.edu.

11th Conference on Contingency Planning, Business Continuation, and Disaster Recovery Using Telecommunications and the First Annual Conference on Employee Security, Workplace Violence, and Protection. Host: International Disaster Recovery Association (IDRA). Providence, Rhode Island: April 9-12, 2001. All presentations at the first conference will relate to telecommunications disaster recovery, business continuation, and contingency planning. The program includes expert speakers as well as refresher and introductory courses. The second conference, requested by IDRA members, addresses the security and protection of employees as a key element in contingency planning. The presentations will cover how to plan for, mitigate, and respond to specific threats. More information is available from IDRA, c/o BWT Associates, P.O. Box 4515, Shrewsbury, MA 01545; (508) 845-6000; fax: (508) 842-2585; e-mail: idraconference2000@idra.com; WWW: www.idra.com.

2001 International Disaster Management Training Course. Offered by: The Disaster Management Centre, Cranfield University. Faringdon, Oxfordshire, U.K.: July 24-August 23, 2001. Cranfield's annual disaster management course attracts a wide range of professionals from government, emergency services, nongovernmental organizations, private enterprise, and the military. It provides state-of-the-art training in disaster management through lectures, case studies, field visits, and hands-on exercises. Over the years, the course has increasingly emphasized disaster reduction and the close links between disasters and development. After completing a core program, participants can choose one of three areas of specialization: complex emergencies, rapid onset disasters, or civil emergencies and human-made disasters. The closing date for applications is June 23, 2001. For a course brochure, contact the Disaster Management Centre, Cranfield University, RMCS, Shrivenham, Swindon, Wiltshire SN6 8LA, U.K.; tel: +44 (0) 1793 785287; fax: +44 (0) 1793 785883; e-mail: disprep@rmcs.cranfield.ac.uk; WWW: www.rmcs.cranfield.ac.uk/dmc.

The training course will be immediately followed by the Second International Course on Training of Trainers (ToT) for Disaster Management, August 27-August 31, 2001. Applications for that course are due by August 1, 2001. Contact the Disaster Management Centre at the address above for additional information.

2001 International Conference on Disaster Management. Host: International Association of Disaster Management. Orlando, Florida: August 6-10, 2001. The primary goal of the International Conference on Disaster Management is to improve preparedness, response, and recovery for all natural and human-caused disasters in order to save lives and reduce damage. To accomplish this goal, the conference will bring together the many disciplines involved in disaster management and encourage the exchange of knowledge, problems, and solutions. The program will emphasize response and recovery lessons from recent disasters around the world, current state-of-the-art programs and strategies, and new approaches. For more information, contact the International Conference on Disaster Management, 2952 Wellington Circle, Tallahassee, FL 32308; (850) 906-9221; fax: (850) 906-9228; e-mail: mail@disastermeeting.com; WWW: www.disastermeeting.com.

96th Annual Meeting of the American Sociological Association (ASA). Anaheim, California: August 18-21, 2001. Topics at this meeting include disasters and the social aspects of risk. For more information, see www.asanet.org/convention/2001, or contact ASA Meeting Services, 1307 New York Avenue, N.W., Suite 700, Washington, DC 20005-4701; (202) 383-9005, ext. 305; fax: (202) 638-0882; TDD: (202) 638-0981; e-mail: meetings@asanet.org.

Sustaining Communities: Creating Markets for Mitigation. Host: Blue Sky Foundation, University of North Carolina, Federal Emergency Management Agency Project Impact, and others. Raleigh, North Carolina: August 19-22, 2001. This exposition and symposium will bring together citizens, public officials, scientists, and private industry representatives to examine partnerships, innovative practices, and effective incentives to ensure the construction of stronger homes and sustainable communities that can withstand natural hazards. For program and registration information, contact Charles Dugger, Project Coordinator, Blue Sky Foundation, 920 Main Campus Drive, Suite 100, Raleigh, NC 27606; (919) 424-4558; e-mail: cedugger@unity.ncsu.edu; WWW: www.bluesky-foundation.com.

Climate Conference 2001. Host: Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht (IMAU). Utrecht, The Netherlands: August 20-24, 2001. Among other topics, the conference will address sea level change, meteorological aspects of climate change, integrated assessments, and impacts on coastal systems. Additional information is available from the Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht (IMAU), Princetonplein 5, P.O. Box 80005, NL-3508 TA Utrecht, The Netherlands; tel: 31-30-253-3275; fax: 31-30-254-3163; e-mail: cc2001@phys.uu.nl; or Utrecht University Congress Bureau, c/o M. van Haersma Buma, P.O. Box 80125, 3508 TC Utrecht, The Netherlands; tel: 31-30-253-2728; fax: 31-30-253-5851; e-mail: m.buma@fbu.uu.nl; WWW: www.phys.uu.nl/~wwwimau/cc2001.html.


Training in Using Disaster Recovery to Build Local Sustainability. Offered by: Natural Hazards Research and Applications Information Center, University of Colorado. Boulder, Colorado: August 27-31, 2001. This course is intended to help local, state, federal, and private-sector decision makers, planners, emergency managers, building officials, economic development directors, environmental specialists, and others who may be involved in recovery by a disaster-stricken community. It is designed to help them prepare and implement holistic recovery that results in a more sustainable community. By juxtaposing the components of sustainability (economic vitality, livability, environmental quality, disaster resilience, social equity, and participatory decision making) with likely postdisaster problems (damaged infrastructure, inadequate housing, ecosystem degradation, business disruption, etc.) participants will explore opportunities to enhance a town, city, or county during disaster recovery. For each opportunity, the course will consider various options for planning and taking action, funding strategies, and sources of expertise. More information is available from Jacki Monday, Program Manager, Natural Hazards Center, 482 UCB, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309-0482; (303) 492-2149; fax: (303) 492-2151; e-mail: jacque.monday@colorado.edu.


National Emergency Management Association (NEMA) Annual Conference. Big Sky, Montana: September 8-12, 2001. NEMA is the professional association of state emergency management directors. It is committed to providing national leadership and expertise in comprehensive emergency management, serving as an information and assistance resource for state and territorial directors and their governors, and forging strategic partnerships to improve emergency management. The NEMA annual conference will address current technical and policy issues in emergency management as well as problems and solutions encountered in recent events. More information about the conference is available from Tina Hembree, NEMA, P.O. Box 11910, Lexington, KY 40578; (606) 244-8162; fax: (606) 244-8239; e-mail: thembree@csg.org; WWW: www.nemaweb.org.

Association of State Dam Safety Officials (ASDSO) Annual Conference. Snowbird, Utah: September 9-12, 2001. ASDSO is a national nonprofit organization dedicated to the improvement of dam safety through research, education, and information. As part of its dual goals of improving the efficiency and effectiveness of state dam safety programs and providing a forum for the exchange of information, ASDSO sponsors a series of conferences and technical training seminars across the country every year. At the annual conference, issues to be addressed include dam evaluation, monitoring, maintenance, and emergency management. Besides the annual conference, ASDSO is also hosting the West Regional Conference and Technical Seminar, Anchorage, Alaska, May 14-18, 2001; and the Northeast Regional Conference and Technical Seminar, Hershey, Pennsylvania, June 6-8, 2001. For details, contact ASDSO, 450 Old Vine Street, Second Floor, Lexington, KY 40507-1544; (859) 257-5140; fax: (859) 323-1958; e-mail: info@damsafety.org; WWW: www.damsafety.org.

Non-Structural Measures for Water Management Problems. Organizers: Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction; United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) International Hydrology Program (IHP); Canadian Commission for UNESCO; and the University of Western Ontario. London, Ontario, Canada: October 18-20, 2001. Nonstructural measures have become an increasingly attractive alternative and addition to structural measures to reduce the loss of life and property caused by water-related problems. Approaches that will be examined at this workshop include laws and regulations, standards, policies, water pricing, landscape management, land use and planning, public involvement, and public education. Examples of water problems that will be addressed include climatic change and variability, extreme events such as floods and droughts, other natural disasters, water shortages, unsafe drinking water, and others. Complete workshop information is available from Sandra Doyle, Workshop Secretary, Institute for Catastrophic Loss Reduction, University of Western Ontario, 1389 Western Road, London, Ontario, Canada N6A 5B9; (519) 661-3234; fax: (519) 661-4273; e-mail: sdoyle@eng.uwo.ca; WWW: www.iclr.org.

Western States Seismic Policy Council (WSSPC) Annual Conference. Sacramento, California: October 21-24, 2001. WSSPC is an association of state geologists, emergency managers, and other officials from western U.S. states, Canadian provinces, and Pacific island territories, all of whom are concerned about earthquake hazards. The council's interests range from legal and policy considerations to such issues as emergency response, seismic mapping, and hazard mitigation. The theme of this year's annual conference is "Risk Communication as a Means of Creating Greater Public Awareness and Action." It will feature plenary sessions on risk communication and workshops on "Coming to Consensus on Seismic Hazards and Risk," "Communicating Across Disciplines," "Communicating with the Media," and "Legal Ramifications of Risk Communication." Additional sessions will address the whole spectrum of WSSPC concerns. For details and updates, contact Todd R. Fleming, Program Manager, WSSPC, 121 Second Street, Fourth Floor, San Francisco, CA 94105; (415) 974-6435; fax: (415) 974-1747; e-mail: tfleming@wsspc.org; WWW: www.wsspc.org.

Coastal Disasters 2002. Organizers: Coasts, Oceans, Ports, and Rivers Institute of the American Society of Civil Engineers; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; the Coastal Zone Foundation; and others. San Diego, California: February 24-27, 2002. Coastal disasters can cause loss of life, human suffering, environmental degradation, and great property damage. They include storms and storm waves, flooding, erosion, wind, hurricanes, El Niños, and tsunamis. This conference is a forum for sharing ideas and knowledge regarding the reduction of the impacts of such events. It will bring together practitioners, managers, and researchers from a wide variety of disciplines involved in coastal zone management, hazard identification, and mitigation. Additional information is available from Lesley Ewing, California Coastal Commission, 45 Fremont Street, Suite 2000, San Francisco, CA 94105; (415) 904-5291; fax: (415) 904-5400; e-mail: lewing@coastal.ca.gov; or Louise Wallendorf, Hydromechanics Laboratory, U.S. Naval Academy, 590 Holloway Road, Annapolis, MD 21402-5042; (410) 293-5108; fax; (410) 293-5848; e-mail: lou@usna.edu. Interested persons should also see www.coastal.ca.gov/cdsolutions or e-mail cdsolutions@coastal.ca.gov to receive regular conference updates.

Tsecond Tsunami Tsymposium. Sponsor: The Tsunami Tsociety. Honolulu, Hawaii: May 28-30, 2002. Abstracts for this meeting are due September 1, 2001, and should be sent to Charles Mader, 1049 Kamehame Drive, Honolulu, HI 96825-2860; e-mail: mccoh@juno.com. Persons desiring more information about the meeting should write to the Tsunami Society, P.O. Box 37970, Honolulu, HI 96817, or see www.ccalmr.ogi.edu/STH/symp2.html. They can also contact James Lander, Conference Chairperson, (303) 497-6446, e-mail: jfl@ngdc.noaa.gov; or Michael Blackford, Tsunami Society Secretary, (808) 532-6423, e-mail: michael.blackford@noaa.gov.

Third International Conference on Computer Simulation in Risk Analysis and Hazard Mitigation. Organizer: Wessex Institute of Technology. Sintra, Portugal: June 19-21, 2002. This series of conferences is concerned with different aspects of risk analysis and hazard mitigation, ranging from specific assessment of risk to mitigation associated with both natural and anthropogenic hazards. In the past, presentations have addressed hazard prevention, management, and control; estimation of risks; emergency response; data collection and analysis; hazardous materials in transit; water resources modeling and management; landslides; earthquakes; soil and water contamination; air quality; and specific case studies. For information on the third conference, contact Karen Neal, Wessex Institute of Technology, Ashurst Lodge, Ashurst, Southampton, SO40 7AA, U.K.; tel: 44 (0) 238 029 3223; fax: 44 (0) 238 029 2853; e-mail: kneal@wessex.ac.uk; WWW: www.wessex.ac.uk/conferences.

Association of State Floodplain Managers (ASFPM) Annual Conference.

The ASFPM annual conference covers a broad range of issues regarding floods and flood mitigation, from legislative and policy concerns to structural and nonstructural approaches to floodplain management (and much more). For information about ASFPM meetings, contact Diane Brown Watson, ASFPM, 2809 Fish Hatchery Road, Suite 204, Madison, WI 53713; (608) 274-0123; fax: (608) 274-0696; e-mail: asfpm@floods.org; WWW: www.floods.org.



World Bank Loan Supports Natural Disaster Management in Mexico

On December 7, 2000, the World Bank approved a $404 million loan supporting a broad initiative by the government of Mexico to reduce the country's vulnerability to natural disasters and to promote rapid recovery when they occur. A prior study by Mexico's National Center for Disaster Prevention (CENAPRED) had found that 68% of the people affected by natural disasters in that country are poor or extremely poor.

Funds from the loan will finance emergency recovery and reconstruction projects through Mexico's Fund for Natural Disasters (FONDEN), established in 1996. At the same time, the loan will help improve the efficiency and effectiveness with which Mexico responds to natural disasters, including environmental, social, and cultural consequences.

The loan, to be disbursed over four years starting in 2001, will also finance studies by government departments and agencies, leading to strategies and actions to reduce human and economic losses due to natural disasters. These studies by the Secretariats of Communications and Transportation, Agriculture, Livestock and Rural Development, Social Development, Public Education, Health, and Environment and Natural Resources, as well as the National Water Commission, will lead to recommendations regarding land use, housing, insurance, road construction, farming practices, and mapping, among other areas.

Finally, the loan will allow the government of Mexico to assess the feasibility of using insurance and new capital market instruments to manage disaster risk in order to make funds for reconstruction available quickly following a disaster, thereby facilitating rapid economic recovery. These efforts could be accompanied by policies requiring government agencies to insure public properties and encouraging recipients of support from FONDEN to obtain private insurance.

For more information on the World Bank's work in Latin America and the Caribbean, on the World Wide Web see: wbln0018.worldbank.org/external/lac/lac.nsf. For details about this project, contact Christopher Neal, World Bank, 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20433; (202) 473-7229; e-mail: Cneal1@worldbank.org; or Lee Morrison; (202) 458-8741; e-mail: Lmorrison1@worldbank.org.



Introducing the Center for Disaster Management, Bogazici University

In January 2001, Bogazici University in Istanbul, Turkey, established a new Center for Disaster Management (CENDIM). This interdisciplinary research center will bring together not only the considerable academic resources of the university but also national and international partners to further disaster understanding and mitigation in Turkey.

Specifically, the center intends to:

In short, CENDIM intends to be a center of excellence for research in vulnerability analysis, mitigation and prevention, prediction and warning, response, and recovery and rehabilitation in order to reduce the loss of life and property due to natural and technological hazards in Turkey. Indeed, the center has already undertaken a dozen projects in various areas of hazards assessment, management, and mitigation.

For more information about this new center and its ongoing research, contact Gulay Barbarosoglu, Industrial Engineering Department, Bogazici University, Bebek 80815, Istanbul, Turkey; tel: 90-212-257-5038; fax: 90-212-265-1800; e-mail: barbaros@boun.edu.tr. The center's web site will be available after April 1. It can be viewed at www.cendim.boun.edu.tr





Recent Publications

Below are summaries of some of the recent, more useful publications on hazards and disasters received by the Natural Hazards Center. Due to space limitations, we have provided descriptions of only a few key publications or those with a title that may not indicate content. All items contain information on how a reader can obtain a copy. A complete bibliography of publications received from 1995 through 2001 is posted on our World Wide Web site: www.colorado.edu/hazards/bib/bib.html.

All Hazards

The Perception of Risk. Paul Slovic, Editor. 2000. 474 pp. £19.95, plus £1.99 shipping. To order a copy, contact Earthscan Publications Limited, 120 Pentonville Road, London N1 9JN, U.K.; tel: +44 (0)20 7278 0433; fax: +44 (0)20 7278 1142; e-mail: earthinfo@earthscan.co.uk; WWW: www.earthscan.co.uk.
In a wide variety of ways, contemporary society is enlarging the number and complexity of activities that can degrade the quality of human life and its natural environment at the same time. Technology is expanding, social organization is becoming more complex, and scientific knowledge is deepening. Thus, measures to assess and manage risks are increasing, and the results are visible in proliferating standards and requirements. Understanding how affected individuals and groups judge evidence of possible losses and vulnerability is essential because these judgments affect the degree to which action is taken and support or opposition is offered for public policies and management actions. The papers in this volume address a wide range of risk perception issues, including decision processes, rationality, and natural hazards; cognitive processes and societal risk taking; insurance implications; acceptable levels of risk; risk assessment; public information about risk; social amplification of risk; technological and nuclear risks and public perceptions; and insensitivity to the value of a human life.

Acts of God: The Unnatural History of Natural Disaster in America. Ted Steinberg. 2000. 294 pp. $27.50. Available from Oxford University Press, Order Department, 2001 Evans Road, Cary, NC 27513; (800) 451-7556; fax: (919) 677-1303; WWW: www.oup-usa.com.
The 10 most costly catastrophes in U.S. history have all been natural disasters--seven of them hurricanes--and all have occurred since 1989, a period, ironically, the United Nations dubbed the International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction. In Acts of God, Steinberg explores the unnatural history of natural disasters, the decisions of business leaders and government officials that have paved the way for the greater losses of life and property, especially among the most vulnerable--the poor, elderly, and minorities. He argues that seeing nature or God as the primary culprit obscures the fact that some Americans are better protected than their counterparts lower down the socioeconomic ladder. He asks: How else can we explain that the hardest hit areas have been mobile home parks and other low-income neighborhoods?

Beginning with the 1886 Charleston and 1906 San Francisco earthquakes and continuing to the present, Steinberg examines the typical approach to natural hazards taken by real estate interests, the media, and policy makers. When authorities understate the extent of storm damage and offer quick repairs and cosmetic solutions to damaged property, fundamental flaws in the status quo go unremedied and unsafe practices continue. Even with increased scientific knowledge, poor building practices continue in seismically active areas and floodplains, often at taxpayer expense.

The Power to Insure: Reducing Insurance Claims with New Electricity Options. Joe N. Gordes. 2000. 20 pp. $8.00. Copies can be obtained from the Northeast Sustainable Energy Association (NESEA), 50 Miles Street, Suite 3, Greenfield, MA 01301-3212; (413) 774-6051; fax: (413) 774-6053; e-mail: nesea@nesea.org. The report is also available from the NESEA web site: www.nesea.org.
This essay provides an in-depth discussion of the impacts of power losses on insurance claims, including those caused by natural disasters such as hurricanes, heat waves, other catastrophic weather events, international power disruptions, and terrorism.

Weather and Climate Extremes: Changes, Variations and a Perspective from the Insurance Industry. Thomas R. Karl, Neville Nicholls, and Anver Ghazi, Editors. 1999. 356 pp. $132.00. To purchase a copy, contact Kluwer Academic Publishers, Order Department, P.O. Box 358, Accord Station, Hingham, MA 02018-0358; (781) 871-6600; fax: (781) 681-9045; e-mail: kluwer@wkap.com.
Are extreme weather events becoming more common? Are the losses they produce increasing? These questions were examined during a 1997 workshop, and the results of that meeting are contained in Weather and Climate Extremes. Participants explored methods to evaluate potential change in climate in the next century. Much of the research in climatology and risk over the past decade has focused on possible changes in long-term averages of temperature, precipitation, and other factors. However, it is becoming increasingly clear that changes in average values will be accompanied by changes in extreme weather events. Furthermore, these climate changes will impact society to a greater extent as people around the world continue to locate in more hazard-prone areas, such as coastal zones. As a result, the insurance industry has already experienced a significant increase in weather and climate-related claims. This book presents discussions on linking climate data to the needs of the insurance industry around the world; it covers which indices to use to identify changes in climate, measurement of hurricanes, indicators for climate change on other continents, a conceptual framework for changes of extremes of the hydrological cycle, and testing for change in extreme events.

Environmental Hazards: Assessing Risk and Reducing Disaster. Keith Smith. Third Edition. 2001. 316 pp. $32.99. Copies can be obtained from Taylor & Francis/Routledge, 7625 Empire Drive, Florence, KY 41042; (800) 634-7064; fax: (800) 248-4724; WWW: www.routledge.com.
Environmental Hazards surveys key findings from the natural and social sciences regarding both natural and technological disasters, assesses their threat, and discusses policy responses necessary to achieve a safer world. The volume covers all major rapid-onset events that directly harm humans on a community scale. The first half examines hazards in the environment, the dimensions of disasters, risk assessment and disaster management, adjusting to hazards, and reducing losses. The second half provides a systematic treatment of different types of hazards--specifically, earthquakes, volcanoes, avalanches and landslides, severe storms, temperature extremes, wildfires, epidemics, floods, droughts, and technological hazards. In this third edition, new material has been added on disaster databases, El Niño, sea-level rise and coastal flooding, global climate change, and sustainability.

"Duty and Disaster: Holding Local Governments Liable for Permitting Uses in High-Hazard Areas." Christopher City. North Carolina Law Review, Vol. 78, No. 5 (June 2000, pp. 1535-1572). $9.50, single copy; $36.00, annual subscription. To obtain the article, contact the North Carolina Law Review, University of North Carolina School of Law, Van Hecke-Wettach Hall, CB #3380, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3380; (919) 962-3926 or (919) 962-1526; fax: (919) 962-1527; WWW: www.unc.edu/student/orgs/nclrev/.

Integrating Hazard Mitigation and Comprehensive Planning: Risk Reduction for Local Communities. William D. Wagoner. Emergency Management Series No. 2. 14 pp. Free. Copies can be requested from the Livingston County Department of Planning, 304 East Grand River Avenue, Howell, MI 48843-2323; (517) 546-7555; fax: (517) 552-2347; WWW: co.livingston.mi.us/planning.

Building an Emergency Plan: A Guide for Museums and Other Cultural Institutions. Valerie Dorge and Sharon L. Jones, Compilers. 1999. 280 pp. $39.95.
Seismic Stabilization of Historic Adobe Structures: Final Report of the Getty Seismic Adobe Project. E. Leroy Tolles, Edna E. Kimbro, Frederick A. Webster, and William S. Ginnell. 2000. 200 pp. $40.00.
Both items are available from Getty Trust Publications, Book Distribution Center, P.O. Box 49659, Los Angeles CA 90049-0659; (800) 223-3431; fax: (818) 779-0051; WWW: www.getty.edu.

Hurricanes

Hurricanes of the North Atlantic: Climate and Society. James B. Elsner and A. Birol Kara. 1999. 516 pp. $49.95. Copies can be ordered from Oxford University Press, 2001 Evans Road, Cary, NC 27513; (919) 677-0977 or (800) 451-7556; fax: (919) 677-1303; WWW: www.oup-usa.org.
Hurricanes are phenomenal yet dangerous features of the tropical North Atlantic Ocean--a potential cause of immense social and economic upheaval. As development continues on islands and shorelines of the Atlantic, human vulnerability to hurricanes will rise at an increasing rate, regardless of changes in global climate. Hurricanes of the North Atlantic examines these storms from both the climatological and social perspectives, and the authors intend the book to be a comprehensive reference. They begin with a general description of hurricanes, including an examination of historical data sets with details on the origin and track of storms. They then describe the impacts on humans in the North Atlantic, with special emphasis on land-falling storms and storm cycles and trends. They follow with a history of hurricane modeling and a discussion of potential hurricane prediction years to decades in advance. The final chapters examine societal vulnerability, including changes in population and property, risk management, catastrophic insurance, and the use of integrated assessments to improve public and private decision making.

Hurricane Mitch: Women's Needs and Contributions. 1999. 19 pp. $6.00. To purchase a copy, contact the Women in Development Program Unit, Mail Stop W0502, Inter-American Development Bank, 1300 New York Avenue, N.W., Washington, DC 20577; fax: (202) 623-1463; e-mail: sds/wid@iadb.org. The report is also available on-line: www.iadb.org/sds/publication/publication_1527_e.htm.

Wildfires

Special Environmental Analysis for Emergency Actions Taken in Response to the Cerro Grande Fire at the Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM. 2000. 165 pp. Free. To obtain a copy, contact Elizabeth Withers, NEPA Compliance Officer, U.S. Department of Energy, Los Alamos Area Office, 528 35th Street, Los Alamos, NM 87544; (505) 667-8690; fax: (505) 665-4872. The complete report is also available on-line: tis.eh.doe.gov/nepa/docs/seas/seas.html.

From the Ashes: Reducing the Harmful Effects and Rising Costs of Western Wildfires. 2000. 52 pp. $10.00, printed version; free on-line. To obtain a copy, contact Taxpayers for Common Sense, Forest Document Sales, 651 Pennsylvania Avenue, S.E., Washington, DC 20003; (202) 546-8500; fax: (202) 546-8511; WWW: www.taxpayer.net/forest.

Climate Change

Currents of Change: Impacts of El Niño and La Niña on Climate and Society. Michael H. Glantz. Second Edition. 2001. 248 pp. $24.95. Copies are available from the Customer Service Department, Cambridge University Press, 110 Midland Avenue, Port Chester, NY 10573; (800) 872-7423; fax: (914) 937-4712; e-mail: orders@cup.org; WWW: www.cup.org.

Climate Change Impacts on the United States: The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change--Overview. 2000. 159 pp. $16.95. To order a copy, contact the Customer Service Department, Cambridge University Press, 110 Midland Avenue, Port Chester, NY 10573; (800) 872-7423; fax: (914) 937-4712; e-mail: orders@cup.org; WWW: www.cup.org.

The Implications of Climate Change for Insurers. 2001. £95.00. Copies can be purchased from BREBookshop.com, Bucknalls Lane, Garston, Watford, U.K. WD25 9XX; tel: +44 (0)1923 664262; e-mail: bookshop@bre.co.uk.

"Climate Extremes: Observations, Modeling, and Impacts." David R. Easterling, Gerald A. Meehl, Camille Parmesan, Stanley A. Changnon, Thomas R. Karl, and Linda O. Mearns. Journal of Science, Vol. 289, No. 5487 (September 22, 2000). Annual subscriptions are available from the Membership Department, American Association for the Advancement of Science, 1200 New York Avenue, N.W., Washington, DC 20005; (202) 326-6417; fax: (202) 842-1065; e-mail: membership2@aaas.org. The article is also available on the Journal of Science web site: www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/short/289/5487/2068.

The Hazards Center

The Natural Hazards Research and Applications Information Center was founded to strengthen communication among researchers and the individuals and organizations concerned with mitigating natural disasters. The center is funded by the National Science Foundation, Federal Emergency Management Agency, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Geological Survey, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, U.S. Department of Transportation, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the Institute for Business and Home Safety, and the Public Entity Risk Institute. Please send information of potential interest to the readers of this newsletter to the address below. The deadline for the next Observer is March 23, 2001.

Center phone number: (303) 492-6818
Fax: (303) 492-2151
E-mail: hazctr@spot.colorado.edu

Publications Administrator: (303) 492-6819
E-mail: janet.kroeckel@colorado.edu

Staff

Sylvia C. Dane, Editor
Dennis S. Mileti, Center Director
Mary Fran Myers, Co-Director
David L. Butler, Doh! Corrector
Sarah Michaels, Information Architect
Jacquelyn Monday, Program Manager
Diane Smith, Staff Assistant
Janet Kroeckel, Publications Administrator
Lori Peek, Research Assistant
Alice Fothergill, University of Akron Professor
Len Wright, Research Assistant

Cartoons for the Observer are drawn by Rob Pudim.



Natural Hazards Observer

Published bimonthly. Reproduction with acknowledgment is permitted and encouraged.

The Observer is free to subscribers within the U.S. Subscriptions beyond the U.S. cost $24.00 per year. Back issues of the Observer are available for $4.00 each, plus shipping and handling. Orders must be prepaid. Checks should be payable to the University of Colorado.

Copies of the Observer and the Hazards Center's e-mail newsletter, Disaster Research, are also available from the Natural Hazards Center's World Wide Web site: http://www.colorado.edu/hazards

To contact the editor of the Natural Hazards Observer, e-mail: sylvia.dane@colorado.edu.

To contact the editor of Disaster Research and our Web site, e-mail: david.butler@colorado.edu.

For other services or information provided by the Natural Hazards Center, send an e-mail message to hazctr@spot.colorado.edu

To reach us by printed mail, write to

Natural Hazards Research and Applications Information Center
Institute of Behavioral Science #6
University of Colorado at Boulder
482 UCB
Boulder, Colorado 80309-0482



Last updated March 2, 2001.

If you have questions about this document, please contact sylvia.dane@colorado.edu.

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